3 days ago · Discover key recession signals and why a major market correction may be coming by 2026.

Sep 30, 2025 · ClearBridge Investments utilizes twelve different economic indicators to assess the risk of recession. This interactive version of our exclusive Recession Risk Dashboard allows you to vary …

Nov 5, 2025 · Basic Info US Recession Probability is at 26.51%, compared to 27.42% last month and 42.04% last year. This is higher than the long term average of 15.25%.

Oct 1, 2025 · View an estimate of the probability of recession based on employment, industrial production, real personal income, and real manufacturing and trade sales.

Aug 12, 2025 · Many factors can trigger or contribute to a recession, but a couple of specific factors are likely the biggest risks to economic stability in 2025: tariffs and inflation.

Mar 23, 2025 · Avoiding a recession has led to better returns after a stock correction. Monitoring these indicators can help provide an early warning about increased recession risks.

May 27, 2025 · J.P. Morgan Research has reduced the probability of a U.S. and global recession occurring in 2025 from 60% to 40%. However, a period of sub-par growth could lie ahead, especially …

Mar 17, 2025 · Experts also see recessionary risks, citing trade tensions, policy uncertainty and sputtering consumer confidence. However, they caution that no single measure guarantees the …

Jun 3, 2025 · After disruption to the economy, we forecast a 40% probability of a recession over the next 12 months. Even with the recent de-escalation in trade tensions, the risk of a recession remains. The …

Track key economic indicators and market indices to assess recession risk in the United States